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"How many consoles can the market sustain at any one time?"

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Fri 06/10/00 at 12:13
Regular
Posts: 787
Last night I was listening to the radio at 11:30 (Classic FM actually as it helps me relax before going to sleep[bet you all wanted to know that didnt you])and a programme started called .com, on which they were discussing the PS2 (among other things).

Once I had recovered from the sheer surrealism of hearing the presenter discussing the PS2 in between pieces by Strauss, Rachmaninov etc, I began to listen to what was being said.

The programme was aiming at parents as it was more of a 'what is the PS2?, Should parents buy their kids one for Christmas?' sort of discussion but it was interesting to hear the 'experts opinion'. The guest gaming expert made it clear that you had about as much chance of getting one this Christmas as you did of convincing your wife/girlfriend that you dont play DOA2 to look at the scantily clad women. He even went as far as to suggest that if your children must have a console this christmas then buy them a Dreamcast.

When quizzed on the X-box and GameCube he rightly pointed out that they wont be out until the end of next year at the earliest and at present the games that will appear are an unknown quantity.

Anyway enough introduction. The point I am building up too is that by the end of next year there will be four consoles fighting it out for supremacy. What I am wondering is not who will be the market leader but rather how many of these consoles will survive?

Is it possible for the market to sustain four different machines or will it come down to a two horse race again as it has so often in the past?

I am not sure where I stand on this question but I would be interested to hear other peoples opinions. It seems to me that with the so called 'hardcore' gamers making up a much smaller proportion of the fan base than they used too, advertising and hype could play a much greater part in which machines sell than it has in the past. Also from what I have seen on the forums opinion seems to be divided on what console is the next big thing.

Is it possible that each console could have its own proportion of the gaming fans, rather than one taking over? or will the sheep mentality lead to a clear leader appearing?

I will stop now and hold back further questions until I have some replies.
There have been no replies to this thread yet.
Fri 06/10/00 at 12:13
Posts: 0
Last night I was listening to the radio at 11:30 (Classic FM actually as it helps me relax before going to sleep[bet you all wanted to know that didnt you])and a programme started called .com, on which they were discussing the PS2 (among other things).

Once I had recovered from the sheer surrealism of hearing the presenter discussing the PS2 in between pieces by Strauss, Rachmaninov etc, I began to listen to what was being said.

The programme was aiming at parents as it was more of a 'what is the PS2?, Should parents buy their kids one for Christmas?' sort of discussion but it was interesting to hear the 'experts opinion'. The guest gaming expert made it clear that you had about as much chance of getting one this Christmas as you did of convincing your wife/girlfriend that you dont play DOA2 to look at the scantily clad women. He even went as far as to suggest that if your children must have a console this christmas then buy them a Dreamcast.

When quizzed on the X-box and GameCube he rightly pointed out that they wont be out until the end of next year at the earliest and at present the games that will appear are an unknown quantity.

Anyway enough introduction. The point I am building up too is that by the end of next year there will be four consoles fighting it out for supremacy. What I am wondering is not who will be the market leader but rather how many of these consoles will survive?

Is it possible for the market to sustain four different machines or will it come down to a two horse race again as it has so often in the past?

I am not sure where I stand on this question but I would be interested to hear other peoples opinions. It seems to me that with the so called 'hardcore' gamers making up a much smaller proportion of the fan base than they used too, advertising and hype could play a much greater part in which machines sell than it has in the past. Also from what I have seen on the forums opinion seems to be divided on what console is the next big thing.

Is it possible that each console could have its own proportion of the gaming fans, rather than one taking over? or will the sheep mentality lead to a clear leader appearing?

I will stop now and hold back further questions until I have some replies.

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