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We can only wait and see what happens, the race is far to close to call...and depends on who can provide the most stock!
If some people are unsure, I doubt they'd go for a 'Cube as they'd wait for the XBox and see what sort of titles will be available.
I suspect only diehard Nintendo fans will get a 'Cube on launch.
I'm personally going to wait until they've both been out a few months and then decide.
I would have thought they'd both be released on a monday, Don't know why, so there'd be a week between them.
Anyway, remember, MS can always change their release date. I'm sure no-one would complain if they brought it forward a week or two.
Also, don't write the XBox off just yet. There are plenty of people out there who are looking foward to it immensely, and don't care much for the 'Cube.
All I'll say is: wait and see.