If you can score a lot of points against them, but still lose, then you'll probably do well.
If you don't, and lose, oh dear.
And Alexander finally signed a deal (only 1 year mind you), so yeah.
Should be a good division, actually. Your lot are coming off a good season, and us and the Chiefs have majorly improved in offense. Broncos are generally a good all-round team as well, so it should actually be really interesting.
Raiders are clearly going to score and conceed the most points this year, though. Best offense and worst defense. Not a good combo against teams like the Patriots, who we open the season against, unfortunately.
I think the Patriots will probably be there or thereabouts at the end of it all, and if the Colts and Chiefs can keep out the opposition they've got good chances as well. Eagles will very probably get to the Conference Championships again seeing as the NFC doesn't look to be offering all that much more than last year, but you never know.
A couple of teams I'm expecting to have surprisingly good years are the Jaguars and Dolphins, the latter mainly due to the Grassman Williams being back in action. The Cowboys could do well also if Drew puts on a few good performances and Julius Jones stays fit.
MVP will no doubt be Manning because they'll continue to suck up to him, and I don't really have a clue who the best rookie will be... probably one of the many first-round RBs picked.