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Whoever else has won before, how long did it take to send?
But in the end its up to the people reading the reivews, messages e.t.c to pick a winner. If you post something good on a day where loads of other people post good stuff then it can be hard. It all depends on how many posts and reviews are posted. If there are very few posts you have a good chance of winning and if there are 100's of posts then your chances are less and less.